The Book

Author

Sam Assaf

Quarto

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The Book

By Sam Assaf

Outline

Abstract & Example : Analysts & Coaches

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Introduction : Analysts & Coaches

Problem Framing : Analysts

Data Overview : Analysts

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Variables in Model : Analysts & Coaches

Outcome Variable Game Data Play Data
Win Probability Added (WPA)
  • Stadium
  • Roof
  • Surface
  • Temperature
  • Wind
  • Weather detail
  • Play type (input) |
  • Field goal probability |
  • Yards to go (first down or | score) |
  • Yardline (continuous and | binned)1 |
  • EPAs2 |
  • ELOs3 |
  • Score differential (binned)4|
  • Game time remaining (binned)5
  • Score difference time ratio6|

Data Visualization : Analysts & Coaches

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Methods : Analysts

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Model Adjustments : Analysts & Coaches

Model Without Risk Aversion Adjustments : Analysts & Coaches

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Model With Risk Aversion Adjustments : Analysts & Coaches

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Discussion : Analysts & Coaches

Examples Plots / Situation : Analysts & Coaches

Conclusion and Future Work : Analysts & Coaches